NFL Week 10 Hit or Miss

Top 5 picks for Week 10.

(All odds come from mybookie.com)

Bills (+7 ½) @ Jets

Buffalo Bills going into the MetLife Stadium against either home team and I'm taking the points. The Jets have shown nothing to me this year telling me that they should be more than a touchdown favorite against any team in the NFL, and you’re giving an entire extra half a point. AFC East games are always played hard and if have taken anything away from this season, it’s that the goddamn Bills can fuck up anything that looks like a sure fire win. All the way back in week 2, The Vikings were -17 point favorites and -1500 money line. But the Bills decided that they were going to look like super bowl contenders and blowout the NFC Championship participant from just the year before. Sam Darnold has not looked comfortable since his debut game against the Lions and the Bills have a much stronger defense. While I do see the Jets snapping their 3-game losing streak, I see it more likely happening by 3 or 4 points. Take the bIlls to cover.

Final score: Jets 14 Bills 10

Falcons (-4 ½) @ Browns

The Atlanta Falcons are flying in off a huge Week 9 win over the NFC East leading Washington Redskins and they are going to continue this week against the Titanic II of the National Football league. Now I love the what the Browns future looks like, but right now they look like the same old Browns that just can’t seem to be able to right the ship. Firing Hue Jackson was the right decision but in the short term it looks like the organization is heading right for another iceberg. The Falcons however have been playing lights out football on the offensive end of the ball. So far this season they have been averaging 412.2 total yards on offense, good enough for 5th in the NFL and 28.5 points per game for 8th. The passing offense has been the real story, ranked second in the league with 320.1 yards per game. The Falcons offense is going to to get out to and early lead and make Baker throw the ball putting him and the team in an uncomfortable situation that they won't be able to keep up with. At 4 ½ point favorites, I think this game is going to end up being a multi score game. Take the Falcons confidently.

Final score: Falcons 31 Browns 17

Lions (+7) @ Bears

Another divisional game that I believe is going to be closer than the odds makers would like for you to think. The Bears are not playing the Buffalo Bills this week, They are playing a very capable team in the Detroit Lions. Mitchell Trubisky has not had a game where he has completed more than 60% of his passes, and with the addition of “Snacks” Harrison the Lions are not going to have to worry too much about the Bears run game. Especially because Jordan Howard is only averaging 3.5 yds/g through 8 games so far this season. The Lions are basically going to make Mitch beat them and I don’t think he is quite at that level yet that he is going to beat a divisional rival by a touchdown with such a tight lead in the division. I actually see the Lions winning this game straight up, so take the Lions +7 or the moneyline at +245.

Final score: Lions 24 Bears 20

Chargers (-10) @ Raiders

Coming off an absolutely humiliating loss to the San Francisco 49ers where they lost by 28 points, there is no possible way the Las Vegas (fuck the NFL) Raiders are going to be able to keep up with the Offensive juggernaut Los Angeles (fuck the NFL) Chargers. The Chargers have some of the best weapons in the league whereas the Raiders have a league low 0 weapons. The Raider released another veteran presence in Bruce Irvin, even he wasn’t playing up to his standards he is still a leader in the locker room. I fully expect Melvin Gordon to have a field day against the 29th ranked run defense in the league. The Chargers are going to hand the Raiders their second straight blowout loss and win big in Oakland.

Final score: Chargers 38 Raiders 10

Seahawks (+10) @ Rams

If there is one thing I can tell you for sure, it’s that the Seahawks and the Rams always have close games. It doesn’t matter if one team is in the bottom half of the league and the other is super bowl contenders, these two teams play each other had every time. 5 of the last 7 games played between these two teams have been decided by 6 points or less. The Rams have shown this past week they are vulnerable in their loss against the Saints and I believe the Seahawks coaching staff is good enough to draw up a game plan that will give them a chance. Seattle also put up a fight themselves this past week play the Chargers down to the final whistle. Russell Wilson is a good enough quarterback where he will find the holes in this 22nd secondary and tear them apart. I still believe the Rams are going to take this game, but you can’t give Russell Wilson 10 points.

Final Score: Rams 31 Seahawks 24

Betting mastermind. Didn't have the height or talent for sports but I can talk and pick them like a champ.

Twitter: @MatthewSulla