NFL Week 14 Hit or Miss

Well boys and girls, all I can say is I am sorry.

Last week was one of the worst weeks in my entire sports gambling career (1-4). But I also refuse to believe it is my fault. There was nobody on the planet that thought the Colts v. Jags game was going to end 6-0. I also thought this was going to be the week that Baker Mayfield shut everybody up. It seems the only team I can trust week to week are the New England Patriots. So lets start there, shall we.

Patriots (-7 ½) @ Dolphins

The Patriots have covered the spread the past two weeks and they are going to do the same thing this week. In general 7 or more points is a lot for professional teams, but these two aren’t playing on the same planet. The Patriots are running the shit out of the ball and will thus keep it away from the Dolphins. Ryan Tannehill is not a quarterback that is going to benefit from long stretches of time between possessions. The only thing that worries me, and this happens every year, is that they are playing in Miami. For some reason Tom Brady never goes to Miami and plays to the best of his abilities. It feeling like this time is going to be different. Unlike most years, this is the season the Patriots are going to need home field advantage in the playoffs and they can’t let that be taken away from them.

Final Score: Patriots 30 Dolphins 13

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Ravens @ Chiefs (-6 ½)

The Chiefs currently lead the NFL in yards per play with 7.3. That is a monster number and yet I am stunned that it isn’t higher. The Chiefs have won by a touchdown or more in 8 of their 12 games this season. Meanwhile, the Ravens offense is not nearly potent enough to keep up with those juggernauts in Kansas City. I know last week the Chiefs only defeated a dumpster fire of a football team, the Oakland Raiders, by a touchdown. And the Ravens are certainly a better team. However, the Chiefs were overcoming the loss of Kareem Hunt, who was playing like a top 5 running back in the league. After a full week of practice with Spencer Ware in his place, the offense will be back in full force.

Final Score: Ravens 23 Chiefs 31

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Lions (-2 ½) @ Cardinals

The only reason the Cardinals were capable of beating the Packers last week was because Aaron Rodgers was trying to get Mike McCarthy fired. The Cardinal are still one of the bottom three teams in the league and will take them by losing this game by 10 ½ if I could. The Cardinals are the 29th worst team against the run this season and I think if the Lions are committed to running the ball with Kerryon Johnson and not put the entire game in the hands of Matthew Stafford then they could be one of the better teams in the NFL. Now there aren’t a lot of stats that give me much courage on this game, however from the games I have watched this season, the Lions have the better quarterback and the better defense which makes me want to take them, winning by at least a field goal.

Final Score: Lions 24 Cardinals 21

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Rams (-3 ½) @ Bears

This is going to be a great battle between one of the top 5 offenses and top 5 defenses in the NFL. I think that the Rams are going to be able to get the better of the bears though. The Rams have just been playing too well and have too many options on offense. Todd Gurley is having an amazing 19 total touchdowns so far this season. The Bears are currently ranked second against the run this season but I give the edge to this once in a generation talent. And like most weeks I look at the quarterback matchup and Jared Goff is having the superior season with a superior offensive mind behind him. The Bears do have the better defense by far though. However I think the return of Aqib Talib is going to take a lot of pressure off of Marcus Peter and they are going to be that shut down tandem we thought they were going to be in the beginning of the season. I have the Rams winning a close game.

Final Score: Rams 24 Bears 20

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Vikings (+3) @ Seahawks

The Viking are coming off a hard loss to the New England Patriots so they are going to be looking for a bounce back win. The Seahawks have the top running game in the NFL rushing for 148 yards per game allowing Russell Wilson to take advantage with the play action game.  But the Seahawks are at the bottom half of the league against the pass and the Vikings pass the ball the third most in the NFL. For the most part I think these two teams are evenly matched so far through this season, but I would rather be on the side of Mike Zimmer that Pete Carroll I think this is going to be a very high scoring game but the vikings are going to be able to pull out the upset in Seattle and against the 12th man.

Final Score: Vikings 38 Seahawks 34

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Betting mastermind. Didn't have the height or talent for sports but I can talk and pick them like a champ.