NBA Hit or Miss March 11th, 2019

I’m back from Florida and back in action.

Boston Celtics @ Los Angeles Clippers

Spread: Celtics -2.0

O/U: 227.0

The Celtics are back on their shit for the fourth time this season. They have a pattern where they seem to lose 6 games in a row and then rebound by winning 14. Tonight’s game against the Clippers is the last game of the Celtics’ west coast road trip. My prediction? Boston will extend their winning streak to 4 games and cover easily, even without Jayson Tatum. Boston is ranked top 10 in both offensive (9th) and defensive (2nd) rating, while the Clippers are very middle of the pack in both. The Celtics are also ranked 4th in turnovers, only giving the ball up 12.7 times per game. Although Boston doesn’t seem like the most disciplined team off the court, they’re still well coached in games. Brad Stevens should be able to scheme up a big win over the Clippers.

MY PICKS

Spread: Celtics -2.0

O/U: Under 227.0

Winner: Celtics

Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets

Spread: Nets -2.5

O/U: 222.5

The Brooklyn Nets are (sneakily) one of the best teams in the NBA since the mid-way point of the season. They make the sixth most three point shots per game (12.6), behind the sharp shooting of Joe Harris and Allen Crabbe. D’Angelo Russell has found his own in Brooklyn and blossomed into the player the Lakers thought they were getting in the 2015 draft. He’s averaging 20 points per game and developing into a leader capable of exciting his teammates. In addition, the Nets are a strong rebounding team: 10th in total rebounds per game with 45.6 and 9th in offensive rebounds with 10.9. At home against a red hot Pistons team, Brooklyn should be able to get this one done. Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond are likely to slow down tonight, so take the Nets to cover the spread.  

MY PICKS

Spread: Nets -2.5

O/U: Over 222.5

Winner: Nets

Charlotte Hornets @ Houston Rockets

Spread: Rockets -9.0

O/U: 223.5

This is a classic case of taking the Hornets because 9 points is too much of a point differential for an NBA game. The Hornets don’t turn the ball over; they’re 2nd in the league with only 12.2 turnovers per game. And while the Rockets are a high-scoring offense, much of their points come off of turnovers. If Charlotte continues to protect the rock, and not let the Rockets get out and running in transition, then they’ll keep this game close. Kemba Walker thrives in big moments and is going to show up against Chris Paul and James Harden. I think Kemba will score 40 point game, but it won’t be enough for the win. The Hornets will still cover, but won’t pick up a W.  

MY PICKS

Spread: Hornets +9.0

O/U: Over 223.5

Winner: Rockets

Betting mastermind. Didn't have the height or talent for sports but I can talk and pick them like a champ.

Twitter: @MatthewSulla