NBA Hit or Miss March 21st, 2019

1-1-1 is single handedly the most underwhelming outcome of all time.

Denver Nuggets @ Washington Wizards

Spread: Nuggets -8.5

O/U: 229.5

Washington is on the second half of their back to back and face one of the best teams in the league. The Nuggets are going to take advantage of a tired Wizards team and blow them out at home. The Nuggets have the edge rebounding and it’s not even close. They average 46.7 rebounds per game, good enough for 6th in the NBA while the Wizards are on the bottom end at 27th with only 41.9 per game. Without Dwight Howard, Washington has a huge hole in the paint. Nikola Jokic will take advantage of a weak Washington front court and post a triple double tonight, leading the Nuggets to a huge victory. Take Denver to cover.

MY PICKS

Spread: Denver -8.5

O/U: Under 229.5

Winner: Nuggets

Utah Jazz @ Atlanta Hawks

Spread: Jazz -7.5

O/U: 226.0

The Utah Jazz are another team on the second leg of a back-to-back and I think fatigue will affect them tonight. I actually think the Hawks will pull off the upset at home. My favorite statistic to lean on is rebounds and the Hawks are the better rebounding team. Although they both averaged 46.1 rebounds per game, the Hawks have a rebound and a half advantage on offense at 11.6 per game or 4th overall. The Hawks have the ability to get hot and put up a ton of points. Trae Young is having an outstanding rookie season average 18.7 points and 7.8 assists. I think he is going to put up big number tonight. Take the Hawks to cover and win.

MY PICKS

Spread: Hawks +7.5

O/U: Over 226.0

Winner: Hawks

Dallas Mavericks @ Sacramento Kings

Spread: Kings -8.5

O/U: 230.5

I’m giving the Kings one chance to regain my trust. That loss to the Nets was the worst thing I’ve ever witnessed. But they’re playing a very beatable team in the Mavericks and should be able to cover this game. Sacramento has the 4th best three point percentage on the season with 37.7%. The Mavericks only shoot 34.1%  which is 27th. The Kings are also a top 10 team in offensive rebounding and they are going to dominate the boards tonight. I love Luka Docic as much as anybody, but he has absolutely no help right now. I can't bet on just one player to cover against a team that has something to prove. The Kings will come out guns blazing because of how bad they got embarrassed on Tuesday.

MY PICKS

Spread: Kings -8.5

O/U: Over 230.5

Winner: Kings

Betting mastermind. Didn't have the height or talent for sports but I can talk and pick them like a champ.