NBA Hit or Miss April 1st, 2019

It's April Fool's Day.. trust no one.

Miami Heat @ Boston Celtics

Spread: Celtics -7.0

O/U: 211.5

As of right now Jaylen Brown is questionable for tonight's game, so I will operate on the assumption he isn’t playing. Given that, I am very high on the Heat tonight. Miami has played very good basketball for the past month and a half, and they’re currently 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Celtics are at a low point in the season, going only 4-6 in their last 10. Miami is the superior rebounding team: 9th overall in total rebounds (46.2) and 6th in offensive rebounds (11.2). The Heat are also one of the better defensive teams in the league with a defensive rating of 107.7, which is ranked 7th in the NBA. With Miami on a roll at the moment, they’re going to keep the game close; but I still think the Celtics are going to win this one at home.

MY PICKS

Spread: Heat +7.0

O/U: Under 211.5

Winner: Boston Celtics

Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks

Spread: Knicks -3.5

O/U: 213.5

I know this is not a sexy game, but I think this is the easiest game to pick tonight. Why would that be? Because some way somehow the Knicks are the favorite. I don’t care how bad the Bulls are, the Knicks are worse--far worse. The Knicks are a lowly 7-31 at Madison Square Garden this season. Although the Bulls are not the best shooting team in the NBA, they’re still 18th at 45.4%. And surprisingly, that is still dramatically better than the Knicks, who are dead last in the league at 43.2%. The Bulls are a top 10 free throw shooting team and the Knicks are at the bottom of the list for the amount of personal fouls they commit per game. New York is also dead last in assists per game this season, which only proves even more that they have no team chemistry. How is there any game this year where the Knicks are the favorites? I think Vegas is just fucking with me. BULLS EASY!

MY PICKS

Spread: Bulls +3.5

O/U: Over 213.5

Winner: Chicago Bulls

Detroit Pistons @ Indiana Pacers

Spread: Pacers -6.0

O/U: 209.5

The Detroit Pistons are without star Blake Griffin for the second straight game tonight against the Pacers. Blake is responsible for 25 ppg and a usage rate of 30%. That is a lot of offense that will be missing from a team that doesn’t have many other playmakers. The Pistons are already one of the worst shooting teams in the league, averaging 44.2% (29th). The Pacers are a top 5 shooting team with a percentage of 47.5% (4th). Although the Pacers have lost 3 straight games, this home game against a struggling Pistons team is exactly what they need to get back in the swing of things. I think the Pacers will win and cover this game as they look to gain momentum into the playoffs.

MY PICKS

Spread: Pacers -6.0

O/U: Over 209.5

Winner: Indiana Pacers

Betting mastermind. Didn't have the height or talent for sports but I can talk and pick them like a champ.