MLB Fantasy Favorites - May 7, 2019

I now have a personal vendetta against Joe Musgrove.

Last Lineup’s Best Picks:

Tyler Glasnow, Tampa Bay Rays (33.95 Fantasy Points vs 23.8 FPPG)

Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox (23 Fantasy Points vs 6.8 FPPG)

Ronny Rodriguez, Detroit Tigers (14 Fantasy Points vs 10.2 FPPG)

Brandon Belt, San Francisco Giants (11 Fantasy Points vs 7.0 FPPG)

Wilson Ramos, New York Mets (7 Fantasy Points vs 5.3 FPPG)

Marwin Gonzalez, Minnesota Twins (6 Fantasy Points vs 4.6 FPPG)

Tonight’s Starting Lineup:

P – Jon Lester, Chicago Cubs (DK Salary $9,000, 15.9 FPPG)

Even at 35 years old, Lester is proving that he is still a strong force on the mound for Chicago. At the moment, the lefty is pitching to the tune of an insane 1.73 ERA with a sub-1 WHIP. $9,000 DK for 15.9 FPPG seems high, but DraftKings seems to be making a miscalculation by including a 0 Fantasy Point game on 4/5 in which Lester didn’t pitch, meaning that his actual average is 19.1 FPPG over his 5 starts. That type of production and value is much more aligned with that $9,000 DK price tag, which is even more true after an outing in which he threw 7 shutout innings for an outstanding 34.6 Fantasy Points. Especially against a Marlins team that is 27th in Hits per game and dead last in Runs per game, Lester is a lock in our lineup tonight. 

P – Cal Quantrill, San Diego Padres (DK Salary $5,700, 10.6 FPPG) 

This pick is less based on Quantrill’s skills and more so based on the fact that the Mets offense is absolutely abysmal. After a hot start to the season, New York has scored just 7 runs over its last 6 games, including 0 runs last night against Chris Paddock. It seems like everyone in the Mets lineup is going 0-for-40 all at the same time, which means that no matter how Quantrill is feeling tonight, he should be able to dominate the Mets.

C – Pedro Severino, Baltimore Orioles (DK Salary $3,800, 6.4 FPPG)

Severino is better known for his defense than for his offense, but he is still a valuable bat in the Baltimore lineup. A 6.4 FPPG average is nothing crazy, but the backstop is susceptible to having big fantasy performances. Over his last 11 games, Severino has put together 16+ Fantasy Points 4 times. Tonight’s opposing pitcher Hector Velazquez is having himself a so-so season with a 3.72 ERA and 1.4 WHIP, so tonight is a good opportunity for Severino to explode once again in front of the Orioles faithful. 

1B – Christian Walker, Arizona Diamondbacks (DK Salary $4,600, 9.2 FPPG)

I love this guy. When he’s in our lineup, our odds of winning increase significantly. Most people wrote this guy off as Goldschmidt’s replacement in Arizona, but Walker has had himself an All-Star worthy season thus far, slashing .306/.378/.595 with 7 homeruns, 16 RBIs, and a .973 OPS. Not to mention the fact that over his last 15 games, he has scored double-digit Fantasy Points 8 times. Walker can hit for power, hit for average, and bring runs across the plate, making him an overall threat at the dish. After a shocking 12-1 blowout loss last night to the Rays, expect Walker and the D-Backs to seek vengeance tonight in Tampa.

2B – Jose Altuve, Houston Astros (DK Salary $4,300, 8.4 FPPG)

The former AL MVP is having himself a tough start to the year, which has effectively lowered his fantasy value. However, the 6-time All-Star has hit over .300 in each of the last 5 seasons, meaning it would be exceptionally strange for Altuve’s woes to continue. In fact, the superstar second baseman has scored 13 Fantasy Points twice in his last 3 games, indicating that a turnaround may be closer than we think. Altuve’s increase in power has pushed him to hit 9 homeruns already this season, and that combination of hitting for power and average always makes the 29-year-old horrifying for opposing pitchers. Especially against the left-handed Danny Duffy, the right-handed Altuve should have himself a strong game tonight in Houston.

3B – Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox (DK Salary $4,700, 7.5 FPPG)

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it! Literally every time we take Devers in our lineup, he exceeds expectations. Last time we chose him for third base, he put up a whopping 23 Fantasy Points! Even after a bad game last night, Devers is still average 12.8 FPPG over his last 4 games and has scored double-digit Fantasy Points in 5 of his last 8 games. Opposing right-hander David Hess has struggled this season for Baltimore with a 5.34 ERA, and the lefty Devers should crush the ball off of him after a disappointing loss last night. 

SS – Eric Sogard, Toronto Blue Jays (DK Salary $4,400, 11.4 FPPG)

I had to do a double-take when I saw this fantasy value. Honestly, I didn’t believe my eyes when I saw 11.4 FPPG for just $4,400 DK, but that’s what DraftKings is offering for Sogard tonight. Regular playing time is allowing Sogard to flourish this season. Slashing .350/.443/.650 with 4 homeruns, 12 RBIs, and a 1.093 OPS, the 32-year-old infielder is having the best year of his life now that he’s in Toronto. Twins pitcher Jose Berrios is admittedly a tough opponent tonight, but Sogard is playing with no remorse for human life right now. Take the utility infielder tonight in front of the rambunctious Jays fans.

OF – Ronald Acuna Jr., Atlanta Braves (DK Salary $4,300, 8.5 FPPG)

The reigning NL Rookie of the Year is having himself a strong start to the season, hitting .285 with 6 homeruns and 20 RBIs for 8.5 FPPG. Acuna can hit for power, hit for average, field, throw and run, making him the closest thing to a 5-tool outfielder that we currently have in baseball. As a Mets fan, I have some jealousy of the rival Braves for having this young phenom on their roster. Someone like Acuna is practically a lock every night, and that goes for tonight against the lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu.

OF – Avisail Garcia, Tampa Bay Rays (DK Salary $4,000, 8.1 FPPG)

I’ve picked Garcia before because of his consistent value night in and night out. But last night was something special. The outfielder EXPLODED for 30 Fantasy Points on 3 hits, including a homerun and 3 RBIs. The “hot-hand” theory isn’t the most sound betting tactic, but Garcia really seems to be finding his swing at the plate. I am sticking with him again at home against the rookie debut of Taylor Clarke.

OF – George Springer, Houston Astros (DK Salary $5,200, 10.8 FPPG)

If you’ve followed our Fantasy Favorites, you know that we love rolling with George Springer. Tonight, we’re going to do it yet again. The former UCONN Husky (shout out Connecticut) is slashing .285/.367/.584 with 11 homeruns and 29 RBIs and is especially hot as of late. Over his last 3 games, the 2-time All-Star is averaging 19.3 FPPG while hitting 5-for-13 (.385) with 1 double, 2 homeruns, and 5 RBIs. Just like teammate Jose Altuve, Springer has the favorable lefty-righty matchup against Royals pitcher Danny Duffy. Without a doubt, Springer is a must tonight at home. 

Purveyor of truth. Breaker of chains. Foolish fan of the Mets, Jets, and Knicks.

Twitter: @ChazzLucenti