MLB Hit or Miss July 1st, 2019

America turns 243 this week and we celebrate by betting on our favorite pastime. 

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Starting Pitching: Adbert Alzolay vs Trevor Williams 

O/U: 9.5

I think this is the best odds you can get tonight. -130 for the Cubs to beat the Pirates who have lost 2 straight games is great. I think this is a game the Cubs are going to win fairly easily and win you a lot of money. Chicago is 7th in On Base Percentage at .335 and 8th in OPS at .784. They have the much better offense and have a young pitcher in Adbert Alzolay who there isn’t much tape on. Whenever you have a pitcher on the mound everyone is facing for the first time, I take the pitcher. I think this is the best value you are going to find on a favorite tonight. 

MY PICKS 

O/U: Under 9.5

Winners: Cubs -130

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds

Starting Pitching: Adrian Houser vs Tyler Mahle 

O/U: 10.0

The brewers have been living and dying by the long ball all season. Hitting 141 bombs so far is good enough for 3rd in the league but they are facing the Reds who have only allowed 90 home runs all season. I think the Brewers still have the advantage though because of how bad the Reds offense is. Cincy only hits .236 (27th) as a team and an OBP of .309 (24th). I don’t think they will be able to get enough runs against Adrain Houser to win this game. Houser has only pitched this year in relief but he has been very impressive in his outings. 2.94 ERA and has struckout 40 batters in his 33.2 innings pitched. I think the Brew Crew is going to take this one tonight and stretch their win streak to 3. 

MY PICKS 

O/U: Over 10.0

Winners: Brewers EVEN

Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers 

Starting Pitching: Jose Suarez vs Mike Minor

O/U: 10.5

The Rangers have been one of the most surprising offenses all season long but they haven’t been showing up as of late. Texas has failed to score more than 5 runs in each of their past 6 games. For a team that averaged 5.4 runs per game for the season, I think they offense is starting to get fatigued. I think this is going to be the game the Angels steal from Texas. The Angels are on a 3 game losing streak right now but the last time they lost 3 straight, they rattled off 4 straight wins. L.A has only scored 5 runs in their last 3 games combined and I have this feeling they are primed for a huge night against Mike Minor. I am taking the Angels as my upset of the night. 

MY PICKS

O/U: Under 10.5

Winners: Angels

Betting mastermind. Didn't have the height or talent for sports but I can talk and pick them like a champ.

Twitter: @MatthewSulla