MLB Hit or Miss July 23rd, 2019

If it weren’t for the Cubbies’ collapse, we would’ve been a perfect 3-0 last night.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers 

Starting Pitching: Aaron Nola vs Matthew Boyd 

O/U: 8.0

Although -160 is not great value by any means, it is still surprisingly low for this game. With the Tigers as one of the worst teams in the league and being on a cold streak, I would have thought the odds would be much worse. Getting the Phillies -160 with Aaron Nola on the mound is a gift.

Although he isn't having a typical Nola season, he is still able to give you those jaw dropping games. In 5 of his last 6 starts, he has only allowed 1 run or fewer. Against this Detroit offense, I think he is prime for another game like that tonight. I am taking the Phillies to win and cover the -1.5 spread tonight.

MY PICKS 

O/U: Over 8.0

Winners: Phillies -160

San Diego Padres @ New York Mets 

Starting Pitching: Chris Paddack vs Jason Vargas 

O/U: 8.5

Although I want to say the Mets can get a win against the Padres of all teams, I don't think tonight is the night. With Chris Paddack on the mound, the Mets don't have a good enough offense to put pressure on San Diego. Paddack has a 2.70 ERA and has only allowed 4 total earned runs in his last 4 starts.

With Paddack and Vargas on the mound, I think this is going to be a low scoring game. But the Padres should be able to squeak it out and get a win on the road in Queens. 

MY PICKS 

O/U: Under 8.5

Winners: Padres -130

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners 

Starting Pitching: Pedro Payano vs Tommy Milone 

O/U: 10.0

Soooo...I don't know how to put this other than to say: the Rangers are bad. They have now lost 8 straight games and haven't scored more than 4 runs in any of their past 7. Sure, 5 of those losses came against the superior Astros, but in baseball you can luck your way into a lot of wins.

Luck is currently not on the Rangers’ side and neither in skill. Until Texas shows me otherwise, I have no choice but to pick against them and roll with Seattle tonight. 

MY PICKS 

O/U: Over 10.0

Winners: Mariners -130

Betting mastermind. Didn't have the height or talent for sports but I can talk and pick them like a champ.

Twitter: @MatthewSulla